Sneaker Report post Posted May 17, 2023 I read a study a couple years ago and it was saying once you get past like a 12 days forecast, scientists have not been able to find a way to reliably predict weather, and the historical average of the weather for that calendar day was a better predictor than anything else. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Non-Typical Solutions Report post Posted May 17, 2023 1 hour ago, Sneaker said: I read a study a couple years ago and it was saying once you get past like a 12 days forecast, scientists have not been able to find a way to reliably predict weather, and the historical average of the weather for that calendar day was a better predictor than anything else. One thing we make fun of is the weather apps.......course I just have the free one as does my wife, but on any given day her phone app and my phone app regarding weather can be vastly different. We got a good slow drizzle yesterday as the sun went down...... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Savageman2506 Report post Posted May 17, 2023 23 hours ago, BowHuntAZ said: https://arizonaweatherforce.com/ This guy has been pretty spot on for the short time I've been watching his forecasts. Calling for a good strong monsoon season! I hit a bad hail storm on the 180 heading northwest out of Flagstaff yesterday. I pulled over and drove my truck into a thicket of pines because I was afraid the pea-sized hail would turn into quarter sized hail! No damage to truck, but I decided I'd shoot my bow another time and went home. Ground was white like it had just snowed after. Sure wish I'd paid attention to the forecast! I figured it'd just be some occasional showers. Lol 2 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TR0UBLE SH00TER Report post Posted May 17, 2023 We'll take every drop. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Edge Report post Posted May 18, 2023 Rain here last two nights in nw valley. Not much but we'll take it. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NOTAGS Report post Posted May 18, 2023 Woke up to a wet yard, and the smell of rain! Nice and cool at 5:15 , like it should be. Tonite s supposedly a better chance, so I’ll keep my fingers crossed. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
firstcoueswas80 Report post Posted May 18, 2023 At about 815 last night, I woke up during a thunderstorm. It was awesome. Went back to sleep to it as well. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Red Rabbit Report post Posted May 18, 2023 Monsoon forecast by ArizonaWeatherForce was released today https://arizonaweatherforce.com/2023/05/18/2023-arizona-monsoon-forecast-released-strong-hurricane-el-nino-influenced-season-expected/?fbclid=IwAR33Q-2ea_bsHgWhUPX-yu9VnXSOC3etFlXYkazYCNqsUgNvcDh3I9efw5U 4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Edge Report post Posted May 19, 2023 Just received a severe thunderstorm warning for the nw valley 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CatfishKev Report post Posted May 19, 2023 Still clouding up daily, seeing rain everyday not necessarily where I am. Curious though. They always talk el nino, any science behind it or just a way of saying "hey we are wrong a lot"? 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Edge Report post Posted May 19, 2023 46 minutes ago, CatfishKev said: Still clouding up daily, seeing rain everyday not necessarily where I am. Curious though. They always talk el nino, any science behind it or just a way of saying "hey we are wrong a lot"? https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/international-sea-level-satellite-spots-early-signs-of-el-nino 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HyNoon Report post Posted May 19, 2023 13 hours ago, CatfishKev said: Still clouding up daily, seeing rain everyday not necessarily where I am. Curious though. They always talk el nino, any science behind it or just a way of saying "hey we are wrong a lot"? Education guess ....as they call it Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Edge Report post Posted May 19, 2023 Looks like a radar image from an intense monsoon season. Nope, taken a few minutes ago. 4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bailer41 Report post Posted May 20, 2023 I hit a pretty good storm on lake Mary rd yesterday. The hail piled up like snow. 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
