Red Rabbit

Thanks for doing this.

I was told these paper tags are interim until the regular adhesive tags are printed.

Flatlander, it would be nice if there was another column in the data table that took how many applicants/BPG, multiplied by the number of BP(+1 for that year)for each group, and computed an individual's chance of drawing for each number of BP based on the total number of generated numbers. It would still be a prediction due to the number of applicants being unknown for the future draw and the randomness of the draw. It would be better though than the first % column in the 1-2 pass as it would eliminate the randomness (guess one could do a best fit/least squares curve) if one is willing to do the stat calculations HuntersTrailhead did this for free a few years ago, but went to a $25 fee to get the data. http://hunterstrailhead.com/index.php?ID=1&XID=1:0:0:0:0

The bonus pass report would be of concern for those with max/close to max point and gives no good indication for those outside of the 20% pass. Yes, the % will vary year-to-year in a BP group depending upon point creep, what the other of the first two choices were and if drawn, and people switching unit choice, but the 1-2pass report is the best to use by those not in the 20% pass (like with 7 BP for antelope) to predict for the next year, especially if one tracks over a period of years. The 1-2 pass report also includes those in the 20% pass

links to all of the bonus point reports, including turkey, are in this section http://www.azgfd.gov/eservices/BonusPointProcess.shtml

Here is the bonus report for elk and antelope by hunt number for the 1-2 pass. The hunt numbers used are from 2013. The column Success-BPG/Applied-BPG % will give your approximate % chance of drawing based on the average number of BP your group has. http://www.azgfd.gov/eservices/documents/bonus/5-2013/2013%20Pronghorn%20and%20Elk%20-%20Bonus%20Point%20Report%20-%201-2%20Pass%20by%20Hunt%20Number.pdf You can read about BP and more reports are linked here http://www.azgfd.gov/eservices/BonusPointProcess.shtml

thanx for the laffs

Josh asked that his story be posted: This is the buck I shot in New Mexico this year in December. It was a tough hunt. Lots of glassing an lots of buck looked over. I finally ended up with a shot at this guy at 732 yards on the second to last day. I made two good shots on him and he was mine. It was a heck of a hike in and out to get him, but well worth it. He grossed 106 7/8. Thanks for reading, Josh Weeks

Snow on the mountains and ice in the stream makes for some nice scenery. Did you get to see the bighorns at Georgetown?

Thanks for looking and commenting. Bet you're surprised I got a critter pic instead of rocks Rocks are easier to sneak up and get closer to, though. DB, good luck on your hunt.

thanks all for looking and commenting Yes, I have put some info on my Facebook page about the 2014 landscape calendar https://www.facebook.com/doug.koepsel

The Verde Valley from Beaver Creek to Fossil Creek to Black Mesa, and then towards Cordes Junction. Big area with Gambels.

You can check the 1-2 pass bonus point report for the 2013 hunt numbers to help you choose http://www.azgfd.gov/eservices/documents/bonus/5-2013/2013 Pronghorn and Elk - Bonus Point Report - 1-2 Pass by Hunt Number.pdf The column "success-BPG-%" will give you an idea of the chance of drawing with your number of BP. You might consider an archery bull hunt first choice and an archery cow hunt second choice, or two archery cow hunts to maximize your chances if you are open to archery cow. Put in the hunt you really want to go on first choice, and then a hunt with better draw odds second choice. It does not make sense to put in for a high demand hunt like archery bull unit 9 for choice 3, 4, or 5 as those permits are all drawn in the 1-2 pass. Look at the permit numbers drawn in the 1-2 pass to see what hunts may have permits remaining for the 3-4-5 pass Make note that the hunt numbers in the report are the 2013 hunt numbers. Good luck in the draw.

If you are wanting to stand and glass behind the tripod and shoot off it also, I would suggest a tripod that you can extend to the needed height without extending the center column. Be prepared to open the checkbook. http://www.bhphotovideo.com/c/search?atclk=Material_Carbon+Fiber&ci=2636&N=4075788741+4291757687+4291757686+4294950354 http://www.adorama.com/catalog.tpl?op=itemlist&cat1=Tripods&cat2=Tripod%20Legs%20%26%20Leg/Head%20Combos&cat3=Tripod%20Legs%20for%20Still%20%26%20Video&Feature2=Carbon%20Fiber&Feature4=65.1%22%20-%2075%22

Ha!

Amanda, I just do not know why you and Paul go all the way across the country when you could go to Beaver Creek and catch crawdads under yellow cottonwoods <grin>

I had the pleasure of traveling to Colorado at the beginning of the month to photograph the changing colors of the aspens and oaks. I was able to visit a few icons like Maroon Bells and Crystal Mill, and also enjoyed taking telephoto landscapes after a few snowfalls. This is just a sampling, but more from the photo trip can be seen on my website: Colorado Fall Gallery Thanks for looking.

I recall the bison in Hayden Valley from my summer fishing trips to Yellowstone back in the 1980s. Guess they are still causing traffic jams?

Your son's hunt is good stuff to read about. Congrats to him.

With Labor Day weekend upon us, the summer is seemingly over and thoughts of autumn colors wax. Here is a photo-summary of my summer photography. While there were no major out-of-state ventures, I did maintain a steady stream of trips to locations in northern Arizona. No summer would be complete without a trip to the Grand Canyon to test one's remembrance of high school German and hope for monsoon rainbows. Summer rains also mean runoff into the Little Colorado river which flows over Grand Falls, just a few feet higher in total then Niagara Falls. The rains also filled some potholes in an unknown area of sandstone formations. The Super Moon rose above the San Francisco Peaks West Fork of Oak Creek near Sedona warranted a couple of hikes. The Kachina Wetlands on the edge of my neighborhood reflected many sunsets. Flagstaff tied the record in July for total rainfall. That meant plenty of grass and flowers. In only a few weeks, the aspens will be changing from green to gold and the Colorado Rockies will call loudly.

Looks pretty good Tony!

Been raining pretty good in the northland since Labor Day. Lucky archery elk hunters might be well-advised to bring tow straps, tire chains, shovel, boards, jack, just in case. My neighbor lost a front hub last weekend scouting and was not going anywhere in 2WD.

Thanks for looking and commenting. It'll be Rica's turn next weekend for grouse on the north rim. Heck, I may even get some hunting pictures

Looks like a good deal on a great bino for some coues hunter needing quality optics.